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II&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a> help to describe ICU populations and interpret the outcome measures between different populations and ICUs&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3&#8211;6</span></a></p><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A growing number of patients have a very severe disease on ICU admission and a very high risk of death&#44; as predicted by the severity scores&#44; due both to older age and age-related syndromes&#44; especially comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This most severely ill population is poorly studied in clinical studies&#44; due to predicted worst outcomes&#44; and their prognosis is largely unknown&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0040"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8&#44;9</span></a></p><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A better knowledge of their ICU and Hospital outcomes&#44; along with the identification of risk factors for short- and long-term mortality is warranted&#46;</p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This study&#39;s goal was to assess short-term &#40;hospital and 30-day&#41; and long-term &#40;one and two years&#41; outcomes of critically ill patients with SAPS II predicted mortality above 80&#37; admitted to ICU in Portugal&#46; We intend to quantify their mortality risk at different time points to support prognostication and to help patients &#40;or their relatives&#41; and doctors to inform realistic goals of care&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0115">Patients and methods</span><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This is a post hoc analysis of Critically ill Mortality by age long-term &#40;CIMbA LT&#41; study&#44; a multicenter&#44; cohort&#44; longitudinal&#44; observational&#44; retrospective study&#44; that included 16 different Portuguese intensive care departments&#46; The study protocol has been published elsewhere&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0050"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a> Briefly&#44; data from all adult patients admitted to one of the 16 participating ICUs&#44; for more than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h&#44; between January 1&#44; 2015&#44; and June 10&#44; 2019&#44; were included&#46; Only the first ICU admission of any patient was considered&#46; Demographic&#44; clinical&#44; and outcome data&#44; along with the SAPS II score&#44; were collected&#46; The SAPS II score is largely used in Portugal including for ICU benchmarking and locally measured data was included in the study&#46; Nevertheless&#44; all participating ICUs were specifically recommended to confirm all unplausible&#44; or missing data&#46; A final check was performed on the whole data&#44; plotting SAPS II against hospital mortality&#44; to find potential incongruencies&#46; The one and two-year follow-up was accomplished through direct patient or relatives contact&#44; hospital registries&#44; or from the National Health Directory database&#46; At least&#44; one year of follow-up was completed for each patient&#46;</p><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Anonymized data were introduced in a file created specifically for this study and all patients were identified by a consecutive number&#46; Missing data on age or SAPS-II score led to database exclusion&#46;</p><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We calculated the standardized mortality rate &#40;SMR&#44; that is the ratio between observed and predicted hospital mortality according to the SAPS II score&#41; for patients admitted with each SAPS II score&#44; both at hospital discharge and at one year of follow-up&#46; We plot the results to evaluate if there was a cut-off point &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Accordingly&#44; we arbitrarily defined the most severe group as those with a SAPS II score&#8805; 67 &#40;corresponding to predicted hospital mortality of 80&#37;&#41;&#46; These were segregated for further analysis&#46; Their first 30 days&#39; cumulative ICU mortality was mapped&#44; to envisage the days with higher mortality &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0010"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We calculated the ICU and the Hospital length of stay &#40;LOS&#41; and the all-cause mortality for the group with higher SAPS II predicted mortality and the remaining patients&#46; Survival curves for both groups were plotted separately&#44; for both the whole population and according to the presence of sepsis on admission to the ICU&#46; Sub-analyses of the first 30 days and for the 31st to 365th days after ICU admission were also obtained&#46; The relationship between age and mortality during these two time periods was calculated&#46;</p><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the local Research and Ethics Committees of all the participating centers&#46; According to the study design&#44; informed consent was waived&#46;</p><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0120">Statistical analysis</span><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Descriptive statistics were calculated&#46; Data were summarized as mean<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>standard deviation or median &#91;percentile 25 and 75&#44; p25&#8211;p75&#93;&#44; according to data distribution&#46; Categorical variables were described as N &#40;&#37;&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The chi-square test was used to compare categorical variables&#44; whilst continuous variables were evaluated with the Student T test or the Mann-Whitney U test&#44; according to data distribution&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The Cox proportional hazard was used to compare the group with higher SAPS II predicted mortality with the remaining patients&#46; The hazards ratio&#44; adjusted to age&#44; type of ICU admission&#44; and the presence of sepsis &#40;aHR&#41;&#44; with the respective 95&#37; confidence interval &#40;CI&#41; were computed&#44; both for the first 30 days after ICU admission and&#44; for the 30-day survivors&#44; for the 31st&#8211;365th days of follow-up&#46; The log-rank test was calculated for comparisons between sub-groups in patients with or without sepsis&#46; The impact of age on mortality at each of the defined time points was calculated with the Chi-square test&#46;</p><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics v&#46;25&#46;0 &#40;IBM&#44; Somers&#44; NY&#44; USA&#41;&#46; All statistics were 2-tailed and the significance level was defined as <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;05&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0125">Results</span><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We evaluated 37&#44;118 patients&#44; of whom 4546 &#40;12&#46;2&#37;&#41; had a SAPS II<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67 &#40;the high-risk group&#41;&#46; Their demographic characteristics are presented in <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a>&#46; More than 70&#37; were older than 65 years &#40;compared with 50&#46;0&#37; of the remaining population&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001&#41; and 61&#37; were male &#40;vs&#46; 59&#46;9&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;17&#41;&#46; A medical reason for admission and the presence of sepsis were both significantly more common in the high-risk group &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a> and Supp Table 3&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">More than half of the deaths &#40;51&#46;1&#37;&#41; during the first month after ICU admission occurred during the first 4 days &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#44; panel A&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The predicted hospital mortality &#40;according to the SAPS II score&#41; in this group was very high&#44; 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#46; The observed hospital mortality was lower&#44; 61&#46;1&#37;&#44; with an SMR of 0&#46;69&#44; and this was similar to the SMR of the less severe population &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a> and <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0010">Table 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0010"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The aHR for 30-day all-cause mortality for this high-risk population was 3&#46;52 &#40;95&#37; CI 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#41;&#46; When addressing only the 30-day survivors&#44; the mortality risk remained significantly higher during the first year of follow-up&#44; days 31st&#8211;365th aHR 1&#46;14 &#40;95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#44; panel B&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">After the first year of follow-up&#44; 70&#46;0&#37; of the population with a SAPS II predicted hospital mortality above 80&#37; had died &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0010">Table 2</a>&#41;&#44; a figure which remained&#44; however&#44; well below the SAPS II initial predicted mortality&#46;</p><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This group had slightly longer ICU LOS but shorter Hospital LOS &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46; However&#44; this difference was related to early mortality&#46; When addressing only survivors&#44; this high-risk group has longer ICU and hospital LOS &#40;8 &#91;1&#46;9&#8211;31&#46;4&#93; vs 4 &#91;1&#8211;23&#46;7&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001 and 21&#46;5 &#91;5&#46;0&#8211;96&#46;6&#93; vs&#46; 14 &#91;3&#8211;73&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001&#44; respectively&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Of the whole population&#44; 30&#46;8&#37; of patients were admitted to the ICU with sepsis&#44; and this diagnosis was associated with worst outcomes &#40;Suppl Table 3&#41;&#46; However&#44; this difference was much more striking in the less severe&#44; group &#40;odds ratio 1&#46;78&#44; 95&#37; CI 1&#46;68&#8211;1&#46;89&#41;&#44; than in the population with the higher SAPS II predicted mortality &#40;odds ratio 1&#46;12&#44; 95&#37;CI 0&#46;99&#8211;1&#46;27&#41;&#46; Curiously&#44; the mortality rate during the first 30 days was also not influenced by age in this high-risk group &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;924&#41;&#44; as opposed to what was noted during the late period and in the less severe patients &#40;Supp Figs&#46; 3 and 4&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0130">Discussion</span><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this study&#44; we evaluated the 12&#46;2&#37; of the most severely critically ill patients admitted to the participating ICUs&#44; with a SAPS II predicted hospital mortality of 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#46; Their hospital mortality&#44; albeit lower&#44; was still 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; More than half of the first-month deaths of this group occurred during the first 4 days of ICU stay&#46; Despite this high&#44; and early&#44; mortality rate&#44; their hospital standardized mortality ratio was 0&#46;69&#44; in line with what was found in the remaining&#44; less severe patients&#46; Despite their high severity at ICU admission&#44; at one year of follow-up&#44; roughly 30&#37; of this population were still alive&#46;</p><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Different risk factors for early and late mortality of critically ill patients have been identified&#46; Those often include sepsis and infection &#40;either on admission or complicating the course of stay&#41;&#44; the severity of illness at ICU admission &#40;measured by different scores&#41;&#44; age&#44; the presence of comorbidities&#44; functional status at ICU admission&#44; and the need for ICU readmission&#46; All these were significantly associated with both early &#40;30 days&#41; and late &#40;31&#8211;365 days&#41; mortality in a recently published observational study&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> results which were similar to ours&#46; Interestingly&#44; in our population&#44; in patients with high SAPS II predicted mortality&#44; sepsis only impacted late mortality &#40;Supp Table 3 and Fig&#46; 4&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Differences in ICU outcomes may be related to the available resources&#44; as recently shown by Martin-Loeches et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> In their study&#44; late deaths were associated with older age and infection&#46; Significantly&#44; patients from higher-income countries have a higher rate of late deaths&#44; probably related to the higher availability of ICU beds that allow treatment of a more chronically diseased and frail group of patients&#46; Portugal is a middle-income country with a relatively short number of ICU beds &#40;increasing from 4&#46;2 beds per 100&#44;000 inhabitants in 2012<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> to 6&#46;4 at the end of the study period<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0070"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a>&#41;&#44; and this may have influenced our results&#46; The lack of availability of ICU beds is associated with a worse prognosis&#44; even when a delayed admission is possible&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0075"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> That calls for action aiming at judicious resource use and providing the optimal intensity of care according to patients&#39; potential benefit&#46;</p><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Roughly 30&#37; of our high-risk patients were alive after one year&#44; unveiling a lasting benefit of their ICU admission&#46; Pintado et al&#46; evaluated 88 patients who were refused ICU admission because they were &#8220;too ill to benefit&#8221;&#46; Those patients had more comorbidities and worse mental and functional outcomes but roughly one quarter were alive after one year&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0080"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> suggesting that prognostication during the acute disease may be problematic&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0085"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> even in more severe patients&#46; In fact&#44; our study showed an SMR lower than one&#44; translating into an improved prognosis compared to SAPS II predicted hospital mortality&#46; This benefit was similar in the whole spectrum of disease severity&#44; with no obvious cut-off point&#46; Even patients older than 75 years may have a long-term &#40;one year&#41; benefit of ICU admission&#44; although prolonged ICU stay may jeopardize this benefit&#44; leading to lower survival and poor quality of life&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Consequently&#44; an ICU trial&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0095"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> that is&#44; admitting and treating the patient for a predefined short period&#44; followed by withdrawal if no benefit is found&#44; may help to surpass this dilemma&#46; This may also help to reduce the provision of excessive critical care resources to patients who appropriately enter the ICU&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a> It may also facilitate an early definition of realistic goals of care&#44; which may improve patients&#8217; and families&#8217; satisfaction and contribute to better use of resources&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0105"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21&#44;22</span></a></p><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Andersen et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0115"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a> focused on advanced age as an independent predictor of ICU mortality&#46; In his study&#44; most of the ICU deaths occurred very early&#44; during the first 2 days after admission&#44; mostly related to life-supporting withdrawal&#46; In our cohort&#44; more than half of the deaths of the severest patients happened during the first four days after admission &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#41;&#46; Of note&#44; we excluded patients who died during the first 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h in the ICU&#44; and the high-risk group was selected based on severity &#40;assessed by SAPS II score&#41; and not only by age&#46; Consequently&#44; an early withdrawal decision was probably less likely to happen&#46;</p><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Our data seems to suggest that even very severe patients&#44; who survive after the fourth day&#44; do not necessarily have a dismal prognosis&#44; and may experience long-term survival&#46; Accordingly&#44; we think that no withdrawal decisions should be based only on clinical severity during the ICU stay&#46;</p><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Clinical severity&#44; age&#44; comorbidities&#44; and length of ICU stay have also been related to post-ICU mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0120"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a> Similarly&#44; in our population&#44; there were more late deaths in our high-risk group &#40;aHR 1&#46;14&#44; 95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#41;&#44; even after being discharged alive from the hospital&#46;</p><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">These observations may have important organizational implications and challenge admission policies&#46; Future research should focus on the improvement of patient-centered prognostic scores&#44; including individual characteristics &#40;such as frailty&#44; and comorbidities&#41;&#44; assessing not only hospital outcomes but also short- and long-term morbidity and mortality&#44; and facilitating patients&#39; own choices&#46; The development and evaluation of interventions aiming to improve the long-term outcome of high-risk patients admitted to the ICU should also be a priority&#46;</p><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We acknowledge that our study has several limitations&#46; First&#44; our sample was limited to a group of ICUs in a single country&#44; and the short and long-term outcomes of severe patients admitted to ICU may differ across countries&#46; Second&#44; our database does not include information on functional status before admission&#44; although severely dependent patients are usually excluded from admission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0085"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> Third&#44; we excluded patients with less than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h of ICU stay&#44; including those who died&#46; Fourth&#44; the SAPS II score may fail to capture all the severity of patients&#44; including their frailty&#44; that may influence the outcomes&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a> and we were not able to formally check the local accuracy of the SAPS II calculation&#46; Fifth&#44; we did not include other severity scores&#46; Finally&#44; we did not collect data on the level of life-support&#44; treatment limitations&#44; end-of-life decisions&#44; the policy of ICU trials&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0095"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> and causes of death after ICU discharge&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Our work had also some strengths&#58; it included a large ICU database and focused on a generally poorly studied sub-group&#46; To our knowledge&#44; this is the first study to analyze a large database of the long-term outcome of a population with a very high predicted risk of death admitted to an ICU&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0135">Conclusion</span><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">More than 12&#37; of patients admitted to the ICU had very high predicted hospital mortality according to SAPS II&#46; These patients often died during the first 4 days after ICU admission and had a short- but also long-term increase in the risk of death&#46; Nevertheless&#44; roughly 30&#37; were alive after one year of follow-up&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0140">Funding</span><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0145">Conflict of interest</span><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0150">Contribution of the authors</span><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">AO&#44; JGP designed the study&#59; AO&#44; TV&#44; ARR&#44; NJ&#44; LT&#44; and LC acquired the data and performed a literature search&#59; AO&#44; JGP check the data for missing or implausible values&#59; AO&#44; JGP&#44; TV&#44; JAP analyze and interpret the data&#59; JGP&#44; AO&#44; JAP drafted the manuscript&#59; AO&#44; JGP&#59; TV&#59; NJ&#44; LT&#44; LC&#44; JAP revised the manuscript for important intellectual content&#59; JGP&#44; AO provided the statistical expertise&#46; JGP acts as the guarantor of the integrity and accuracy of the data&#46; All authors read and approved the final manuscript&#46;</p></span></span>"
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    "fechaRecibido" => "2023-06-22"
    "fechaAceptado" => "2023-10-08"
    "PalabrasClave" => array:2 [
      "en" => array:1 [
        0 => array:4 [
          "clase" => "keyword"
          "titulo" => "Keywords"
          "identificador" => "xpalclavsec1776990"
          "palabras" => array:6 [
            0 => "Epidemiology"
            1 => "Mortality"
            2 => "Intensive care"
            3 => "Follow up"
            4 => "SAPS II"
            5 => "High-risk"
          ]
        ]
      ]
      "es" => array:1 [
        0 => array:4 [
          "clase" => "keyword"
          "titulo" => "Palabras clave"
          "identificador" => "xpalclavsec1776989"
          "palabras" => array:6 [
            0 => "Epidemiolog&#237;a"
            1 => "Mortalidad"
            2 => "Cuidados intensivos"
            3 => "Seguimiento"
            4 => "SAPS II"
            5 => "Alto riesgo"
          ]
        ]
      ]
    ]
    "tieneResumen" => true
    "resumen" => array:2 [
      "en" => array:3 [
        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0015">Objective</span><p id="spar0040" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">As calculated by the severity scores&#44; an unknown number of patients are admitted to the Intensive Care Unit &#40;ICU&#41; with a very high risk of death&#46; Clinical studies have poorly addressed this population&#44; and their prognosis is largely unknown&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0020">Design</span><p id="spar0045" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Post hoc analysis of a multicenter&#44; cohort&#44; longitudinal&#44; observational&#44; retrospective study &#40;CIMbA&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0025">Setting</span><p id="spar0050" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Sixteen Portuguese multipurpose ICUs&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0030">Patients</span><p id="spar0055" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Patients with a Simplified Acute Physiology Score II &#40;SAPS II&#41; predicted hospital mortality above 80&#37; on admission to the ICU &#40;high-risk group&#41;&#59; A comparison with the remaining patients was obtained&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0035">Interventions</span><p id="spar0060" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0040">Main Variables of Interest</span><p id="spar0065" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Hospital&#44; 30 days&#44; 1 year mortality&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0045">Results</span><p id="spar0070" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We identified 4546 patients &#40;59&#46;9&#37; male&#41;&#44; 12&#46;2&#37; of the whole population&#46; Their SAPS II predicted hospital mortality was 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#44; whilst the observed mortality was lower&#44; 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; This group had higher mortality&#44; both during the first 30 days &#40;aHR 3&#46;52 &#91;95&#37; CI 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#93;&#41; and from day 31 to day 365 after ICU admission &#40;aHR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#93;&#41;&#44; respectively&#46; However&#44; their hospital standardized mortality ratio was similar to the other patients &#40;0&#46;69 vs&#46; 0&#46;69&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;92&#41;&#46; At one year of follow-up&#44; 30&#37; of patients in the high-risk group were alive&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0050">Conclusions</span><p id="spar0075" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Roughly 12&#37; of patients admitted to the ICU for more than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h had a SAPS II score predicted mortality above 80&#37;&#46; Their hospital standardized mortality was similar to the less severe population and 30&#37; were alive after one year of follow-up&#46;</p></span>"
        "secciones" => array:8 [
          0 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0010"
            "titulo" => "Objective"
          ]
          1 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0015"
            "titulo" => "Design"
          ]
          2 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0020"
            "titulo" => "Setting"
          ]
          3 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0025"
            "titulo" => "Patients"
          ]
          4 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0030"
            "titulo" => "Interventions"
          ]
          5 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0035"
            "titulo" => "Main Variables of Interest"
          ]
          6 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0040"
            "titulo" => "Results"
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            "identificador" => "abst0045"
            "titulo" => "Conclusions"
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      "es" => array:3 [
        "titulo" => "Resumen"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0050" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0060">Objetivo</span><p id="spar0080" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Seg&#250;n las escalas de gravedad&#44; un n&#250;mero indeterminado de pacientes ingresan en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos &#40;UCI&#41; con riesgo de muerte muy elevado&#46; Este grupo ha sido poco abordado en los estudios cl&#237;nicos y se desconoce en gran medida su pron&#243;stico&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0055" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0065">Dise&#241;o</span><p id="spar0085" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">An&#225;lisis post-hoc de estudio multic&#233;ntrico&#44; de cohortes&#44; longitudinal&#44; observacional y retrospectivo &#40;CIMbA&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0060" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0070">&#194;mbito</span><p id="spar0090" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Diecis&#233;is UCI polivalentes portuguesas&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0065" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0075">Pacientes</span><p id="spar0095" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Pacientes con mortalidad hospitalaria prevista en el Simplified Acute Physiology Score II &#40;SAPS II&#41; superior al 80&#37; nel ingreso en la UCI &#40;grupo de alto riesgo&#41;&#59; se compararon con los restantes&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0070" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0080">Intervenciones</span><p id="spar0100" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Ninguna&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0075" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0085">Variables de inter&#233;s principals</span><p id="spar0105" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Mortalidad hospitalaria&#44; a 30 d&#237;as y 1 a&#241;o&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0080" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0090">Resultados</span><p id="spar0110" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se identificaron 4546 pacientes &#40;59&#46;9&#37; hombres&#41;&#44; 12&#46;2&#37; da poblaci&#243;n&#46; La mortalidad hospitalaria estimada por lo SAPS II fue de 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#44; aunque la observada fue inferior&#44; 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; Este grupo present&#243; mayor mortalidad&#44; tanto durante los primeros 30 d&#237;as &#40;aHR 3&#46;52 &#91;IC 95&#37;&#58; 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#93;&#41; y desde el d&#237;a 31 hasta el d&#237;a 365 despu&#233;s del ingreso en UCI &#40;aHR 1&#46;14 &#91;IC 95&#37;&#58; 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#93;&#41;&#46; Sin embargo&#44; su &#237;ndice de mortalidad hospitalaria estandarizada fue similar a los otros pacientes &#40;0&#46;69 vs&#46; 0&#46;69&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;92&#41;&#46; Al primer a&#241;o de seguimiento&#44; 30&#37; de los pacientes de alto riesgo estaban vivos&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0085" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0095">Conclusiones</span><p id="spar0115" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Aproximadamente 12&#37; de los pacientes ingresados en la UCI durante m&#225;s de 24 horas ten&#237;an una mortalidad prevista por SAPS II superior al 80&#37;&#46; Su mortalidad hospitalaria estandarizada fue similar a la de la poblaci&#243;n menos grave y el 30&#37; estaban vivos despu&#233;s de un a&#241;o de seguimiento&#46;</p></span>"
        "secciones" => array:8 [
          0 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0050"
            "titulo" => "Objetivo"
          ]
          1 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0055"
            "titulo" => "Dise&#241;o"
          ]
          2 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0060"
            "titulo" => "&#194;mbito"
          ]
          3 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0065"
            "titulo" => "Pacientes"
          ]
          4 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0070"
            "titulo" => "Intervenciones"
          ]
          5 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0075"
            "titulo" => "Variables de inter&#233;s principals"
          ]
          6 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0080"
            "titulo" => "Resultados"
          ]
          7 => array:2 [
            "identificador" => "abst0085"
            "titulo" => "Conclusiones"
          ]
        ]
      ]
    ]
    "apendice" => array:1 [
      0 => array:1 [
        "seccion" => array:1 [
          0 => array:4 [
            "apendice" => "<p id="par0210" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The following is Supplementary data to this article&#58;<elsevierMultimedia ident="upi0005"></elsevierMultimedia></p>"
            "etiqueta" => "Appendix A"
            "titulo" => "Supplementary data"
            "identificador" => "sec0055"
          ]
        ]
      ]
    ]
    "multimedia" => array:6 [
      0 => array:8 [
        "identificador" => "fig0005"
        "etiqueta" => "Figure 1"
        "tipo" => "MULTIMEDIAFIGURA"
        "mostrarFloat" => true
        "mostrarDisplay" => false
        "figura" => array:1 [
          0 => array:4 [
            "imagen" => "gr1.jpeg"
            "Alto" => 1109
            "Ancho" => 2515
            "Tamanyo" => 151164
          ]
        ]
        "detalles" => array:1 [
          0 => array:3 [
            "identificador" => "at0355"
            "detalle" => "Figure "
            "rol" => "short"
          ]
        ]
        "descripcion" => array:1 [
          "en" => "<p id="spar0005" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Standard mortality ratio according to severity of disease on Intensive care Unit admission &#40;measured by the SAPS II&#41;&#44; calculated at hospital discharge&#46; The non-continuous line represents polynomial function for the SMR dispersion trend &#40;y<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;0019x<span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8722;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;0494x<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#43;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>0&#44;941&#41;&#46; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#59; SAPS&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score&#59; SMR&#44; Standardized Mortality Ratio&#46;</p>"
        ]
      ]
      1 => array:8 [
        "identificador" => "fig0010"
        "etiqueta" => "Figure 2"
        "tipo" => "MULTIMEDIAFIGURA"
        "mostrarFloat" => true
        "mostrarDisplay" => false
        "figura" => array:1 [
          0 => array:4 [
            "imagen" => "gr2.jpeg"
            "Alto" => 2414
            "Ancho" => 1684
            "Tamanyo" => 189544
          ]
        ]
        "detalles" => array:1 [
          0 => array:3 [
            "identificador" => "at0360"
            "detalle" => "Figure "
            "rol" => "short"
          ]
        ]
        "descripcion" => array:1 [
          "en" => "<p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Survival curves according to the severity of disease on the Intensive Care Unit admission&#46; Panel A&#58; Survival during the first 30 days after admission&#46; Panel B&#58; Long-term cumulative survival in 30-day survivors &#40;from the 31st to the 365th day of follow-up&#41;&#46; Log Rank test <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001 for both&#46; SAPS&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score&#59; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#46;</p>"
        ]
      ]
      2 => array:8 [
        "identificador" => "tbl0005"
        "etiqueta" => "Table 1"
        "tipo" => "MULTIMEDIATABLA"
        "mostrarFloat" => true
        "mostrarDisplay" => false
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          0 => array:3 [
            "identificador" => "at0365"
            "detalle" => "Table "
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        "tabla" => array:2 [
          "leyenda" => "<p id="spar0020" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">SAPS II&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score II&#59; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#59; LOS&#44; Length of Stay&#59; p25&#8211;p75&#44; Percentiles 25 and 75&#46;</p>"
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">SAPS<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67 &#40;N 4546&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">Age&#40;years&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">18&#8722;50&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">341 &#40;7&#46;5&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">935 &#40;20&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">8998 &#40;27&#46;6&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">66&#8722;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2205 &#40;48&#46;5&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">&#62;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">1065 &#40;23&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">19&#44;521 &#40;59&#46;9&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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Original article
Critically ill patients with high predicted mortality: Incidence and outcome
Pacientes en cuidados intensivos con alta mortalidad prevista: Incidencia y evolución
André Oliveiraa, Tatiana Vieirab, Ana Rodriguesc, Núria Jorgeb, Luís Tavaresd, Laura Costae, José Artur Paivab,f,g, João Gonçalves Pereiraa,f,h,
Autor para correspondencia
joaogpereira@fm.ul.pt

Corresponding author.
a Intensive Care Medicine Department, Hospital de Vila Franca de Xira, Estrada Carlos Lima Costa Nº2, 2600-009 Vila Franca de Xira, Portugal
b Intensive Care Medicine Department, Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de São João, Alameda Prof. Hernâni Monteiro, 4200–319 Porto, Portugal
c Intensive Care Medicine Department, Hospital Santa Maria, Centro Hospitalar Universitário de Lisboa Norte, Av. Prof. Egas Moniz, 1649-028 Lisboa, Portugal
d Intensive Care Medicine Department, Hospital Santo Espírito, Av. D. Manuel I, 9500-370 Ponta Delgada, Portugal
e Intensive Care Medicine Department, Hospital de Braga, R. das Comunidades Lusíadas 133, Braga, Portugal
f Grupo de Investigação e Desenvolvimento em Infeção e Sépsis (GISID), Rua Heróis de África, 381, Leça da Palmeira, 4450-681 Matosinhos, Portugal
g Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade do Porto, Al. Prof. Hernâni Monteiro, 4200 - 319 Porto, Portugal
h Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Lisboa, Avenida Professor Egas Moniz, 1649-028 Lisboa, Portugal
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    "textoCompleto" => "<span class="elsevierStyleSections"><span id="sec0005" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0110">Introduction</span><p id="par0005" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Critical care medicine is designed for patients with critical illnesses at different stages of their condition&#46; There is an identifiable ongoing morbidity and mortality attributable to the acute severe illness event&#44; to older age&#44; and to a growing number of comorbidities&#46;</p><p id="par0010" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">All-cause mortality is a common outcome measure in the Intensive Care Unit &#40;ICU&#41;&#44; used as a major primary endpoint in several cohort studies and benchmarking analyses&#44; and as a surrogate of the quality of care&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a> Scoring systems&#44; like the commonly used Simplified Acute Physiology Score &#40;SAPS&#41; II&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0010"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">2</span></a> help to describe ICU populations and interpret the outcome measures between different populations and ICUs&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0015"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">3&#8211;6</span></a></p><p id="par0015" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A growing number of patients have a very severe disease on ICU admission and a very high risk of death&#44; as predicted by the severity scores&#44; due both to older age and age-related syndromes&#44; especially comorbidities&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0035"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">7</span></a></p><p id="par0020" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This most severely ill population is poorly studied in clinical studies&#44; due to predicted worst outcomes&#44; and their prognosis is largely unknown&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0040"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">8&#44;9</span></a></p><p id="par0025" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">A better knowledge of their ICU and Hospital outcomes&#44; along with the identification of risk factors for short- and long-term mortality is warranted&#46;</p><p id="par0030" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This study&#39;s goal was to assess short-term &#40;hospital and 30-day&#41; and long-term &#40;one and two years&#41; outcomes of critically ill patients with SAPS II predicted mortality above 80&#37; admitted to ICU in Portugal&#46; We intend to quantify their mortality risk at different time points to support prognostication and to help patients &#40;or their relatives&#41; and doctors to inform realistic goals of care&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0115">Patients and methods</span><p id="par0035" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This is a post hoc analysis of Critically ill Mortality by age long-term &#40;CIMbA LT&#41; study&#44; a multicenter&#44; cohort&#44; longitudinal&#44; observational&#44; retrospective study&#44; that included 16 different Portuguese intensive care departments&#46; The study protocol has been published elsewhere&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0050"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">10</span></a> Briefly&#44; data from all adult patients admitted to one of the 16 participating ICUs&#44; for more than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h&#44; between January 1&#44; 2015&#44; and June 10&#44; 2019&#44; were included&#46; Only the first ICU admission of any patient was considered&#46; Demographic&#44; clinical&#44; and outcome data&#44; along with the SAPS II score&#44; were collected&#46; The SAPS II score is largely used in Portugal including for ICU benchmarking and locally measured data was included in the study&#46; Nevertheless&#44; all participating ICUs were specifically recommended to confirm all unplausible&#44; or missing data&#46; A final check was performed on the whole data&#44; plotting SAPS II against hospital mortality&#44; to find potential incongruencies&#46; The one and two-year follow-up was accomplished through direct patient or relatives contact&#44; hospital registries&#44; or from the National Health Directory database&#46; At least&#44; one year of follow-up was completed for each patient&#46;</p><p id="par0040" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Anonymized data were introduced in a file created specifically for this study and all patients were identified by a consecutive number&#46; Missing data on age or SAPS-II score led to database exclusion&#46;</p><p id="par0045" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We calculated the standardized mortality rate &#40;SMR&#44; that is the ratio between observed and predicted hospital mortality according to the SAPS II score&#41; for patients admitted with each SAPS II score&#44; both at hospital discharge and at one year of follow-up&#46; We plot the results to evaluate if there was a cut-off point &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0050" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Accordingly&#44; we arbitrarily defined the most severe group as those with a SAPS II score&#8805; 67 &#40;corresponding to predicted hospital mortality of 80&#37;&#41;&#46; These were segregated for further analysis&#46; Their first 30 days&#39; cumulative ICU mortality was mapped&#44; to envisage the days with higher mortality &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="fig0010"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0055" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We calculated the ICU and the Hospital length of stay &#40;LOS&#41; and the all-cause mortality for the group with higher SAPS II predicted mortality and the remaining patients&#46; Survival curves for both groups were plotted separately&#44; for both the whole population and according to the presence of sepsis on admission to the ICU&#46; Sub-analyses of the first 30 days and for the 31st to 365th days after ICU admission were also obtained&#46; The relationship between age and mortality during these two time periods was calculated&#46;</p><p id="par0060" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The study was approved by the local Research and Ethics Committees of all the participating centers&#46; According to the study design&#44; informed consent was waived&#46;</p><span id="sec0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0120">Statistical analysis</span><p id="par0065" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Descriptive statistics were calculated&#46; Data were summarized as mean<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>standard deviation or median &#91;percentile 25 and 75&#44; p25&#8211;p75&#93;&#44; according to data distribution&#46; Categorical variables were described as N &#40;&#37;&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0070" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The chi-square test was used to compare categorical variables&#44; whilst continuous variables were evaluated with the Student T test or the Mann-Whitney U test&#44; according to data distribution&#46;</p><p id="par0075" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The Cox proportional hazard was used to compare the group with higher SAPS II predicted mortality with the remaining patients&#46; The hazards ratio&#44; adjusted to age&#44; type of ICU admission&#44; and the presence of sepsis &#40;aHR&#41;&#44; with the respective 95&#37; confidence interval &#40;CI&#41; were computed&#44; both for the first 30 days after ICU admission and&#44; for the 30-day survivors&#44; for the 31st&#8211;365th days of follow-up&#46; The log-rank test was calculated for comparisons between sub-groups in patients with or without sepsis&#46; The impact of age on mortality at each of the defined time points was calculated with the Chi-square test&#46;</p><p id="par0080" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics v&#46;25&#46;0 &#40;IBM&#44; Somers&#44; NY&#44; USA&#41;&#46; All statistics were 2-tailed and the significance level was defined as <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;05&#46;</p></span></span><span id="sec0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0125">Results</span><p id="par0085" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We evaluated 37&#44;118 patients&#44; of whom 4546 &#40;12&#46;2&#37;&#41; had a SAPS II<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67 &#40;the high-risk group&#41;&#46; Their demographic characteristics are presented in <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a>&#46; More than 70&#37; were older than 65 years &#40;compared with 50&#46;0&#37; of the remaining population&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001&#41; and 61&#37; were male &#40;vs&#46; 59&#46;9&#37;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;17&#41;&#46; A medical reason for admission and the presence of sepsis were both significantly more common in the high-risk group &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a> and Supp Table 3&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0005"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0090" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">More than half of the deaths &#40;51&#46;1&#37;&#41; during the first month after ICU admission occurred during the first 4 days &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#44; panel A&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0095" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The predicted hospital mortality &#40;according to the SAPS II score&#41; in this group was very high&#44; 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#46; The observed hospital mortality was lower&#44; 61&#46;1&#37;&#44; with an SMR of 0&#46;69&#44; and this was similar to the SMR of the less severe population &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0005">Fig&#46; 1</a> and <a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0010">Table 2</a>&#41;&#46;</p><elsevierMultimedia ident="tbl0010"></elsevierMultimedia><p id="par0100" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">The aHR for 30-day all-cause mortality for this high-risk population was 3&#46;52 &#40;95&#37; CI 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#41;&#46; When addressing only the 30-day survivors&#44; the mortality risk remained significantly higher during the first year of follow-up&#44; days 31st&#8211;365th aHR 1&#46;14 &#40;95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#41; &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#44; panel B&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0105" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">After the first year of follow-up&#44; 70&#46;0&#37; of the population with a SAPS II predicted hospital mortality above 80&#37; had died &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0010">Table 2</a>&#41;&#44; a figure which remained&#44; however&#44; well below the SAPS II initial predicted mortality&#46;</p><p id="par0110" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">This group had slightly longer ICU LOS but shorter Hospital LOS &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tbl0005">Table 1</a>&#41;&#46; However&#44; this difference was related to early mortality&#46; When addressing only survivors&#44; this high-risk group has longer ICU and hospital LOS &#40;8 &#91;1&#46;9&#8211;31&#46;4&#93; vs 4 &#91;1&#8211;23&#46;7&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001 and 21&#46;5 &#91;5&#46;0&#8211;96&#46;6&#93; vs&#46; 14 &#91;3&#8211;73&#93;&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001&#44; respectively&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0115" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Of the whole population&#44; 30&#46;8&#37; of patients were admitted to the ICU with sepsis&#44; and this diagnosis was associated with worst outcomes &#40;Suppl Table 3&#41;&#46; However&#44; this difference was much more striking in the less severe&#44; group &#40;odds ratio 1&#46;78&#44; 95&#37; CI 1&#46;68&#8211;1&#46;89&#41;&#44; than in the population with the higher SAPS II predicted mortality &#40;odds ratio 1&#46;12&#44; 95&#37;CI 0&#46;99&#8211;1&#46;27&#41;&#46; Curiously&#44; the mortality rate during the first 30 days was also not influenced by age in this high-risk group &#40;<span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;924&#41;&#44; as opposed to what was noted during the late period and in the less severe patients &#40;Supp Figs&#46; 3 and 4&#41;&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0130">Discussion</span><p id="par0120" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">In this study&#44; we evaluated the 12&#46;2&#37; of the most severely critically ill patients admitted to the participating ICUs&#44; with a SAPS II predicted hospital mortality of 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#46; Their hospital mortality&#44; albeit lower&#44; was still 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; More than half of the first-month deaths of this group occurred during the first 4 days of ICU stay&#46; Despite this high&#44; and early&#44; mortality rate&#44; their hospital standardized mortality ratio was 0&#46;69&#44; in line with what was found in the remaining&#44; less severe patients&#46; Despite their high severity at ICU admission&#44; at one year of follow-up&#44; roughly 30&#37; of this population were still alive&#46;</p><p id="par0125" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Different risk factors for early and late mortality of critically ill patients have been identified&#46; Those often include sepsis and infection &#40;either on admission or complicating the course of stay&#41;&#44; the severity of illness at ICU admission &#40;measured by different scores&#41;&#44; age&#44; the presence of comorbidities&#44; functional status at ICU admission&#44; and the need for ICU readmission&#46; All these were significantly associated with both early &#40;30 days&#41; and late &#40;31&#8211;365 days&#41; mortality in a recently published observational study&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0055"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">11</span></a> results which were similar to ours&#46; Interestingly&#44; in our population&#44; in patients with high SAPS II predicted mortality&#44; sepsis only impacted late mortality &#40;Supp Table 3 and Fig&#46; 4&#41;&#46;</p><p id="par0130" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Differences in ICU outcomes may be related to the available resources&#44; as recently shown by Martin-Loeches et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0060"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">12</span></a> In their study&#44; late deaths were associated with older age and infection&#46; Significantly&#44; patients from higher-income countries have a higher rate of late deaths&#44; probably related to the higher availability of ICU beds that allow treatment of a more chronically diseased and frail group of patients&#46; Portugal is a middle-income country with a relatively short number of ICU beds &#40;increasing from 4&#46;2 beds per 100&#44;000 inhabitants in 2012<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0065"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">13</span></a> to 6&#46;4 at the end of the study period<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0070"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">14</span></a>&#41;&#44; and this may have influenced our results&#46; The lack of availability of ICU beds is associated with a worse prognosis&#44; even when a delayed admission is possible&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0075"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">15</span></a> That calls for action aiming at judicious resource use and providing the optimal intensity of care according to patients&#39; potential benefit&#46;</p><p id="par0135" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Roughly 30&#37; of our high-risk patients were alive after one year&#44; unveiling a lasting benefit of their ICU admission&#46; Pintado et al&#46; evaluated 88 patients who were refused ICU admission because they were &#8220;too ill to benefit&#8221;&#46; Those patients had more comorbidities and worse mental and functional outcomes but roughly one quarter were alive after one year&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0080"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">16</span></a> suggesting that prognostication during the acute disease may be problematic&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0085"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> even in more severe patients&#46; In fact&#44; our study showed an SMR lower than one&#44; translating into an improved prognosis compared to SAPS II predicted hospital mortality&#46; This benefit was similar in the whole spectrum of disease severity&#44; with no obvious cut-off point&#46; Even patients older than 75 years may have a long-term &#40;one year&#41; benefit of ICU admission&#44; although prolonged ICU stay may jeopardize this benefit&#44; leading to lower survival and poor quality of life&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0090"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">18</span></a></p><p id="par0140" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Consequently&#44; an ICU trial&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0095"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> that is&#44; admitting and treating the patient for a predefined short period&#44; followed by withdrawal if no benefit is found&#44; may help to surpass this dilemma&#46; This may also help to reduce the provision of excessive critical care resources to patients who appropriately enter the ICU&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0100"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">20</span></a> It may also facilitate an early definition of realistic goals of care&#44; which may improve patients&#8217; and families&#8217; satisfaction and contribute to better use of resources&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRefs" href="#bib0105"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">21&#44;22</span></a></p><p id="par0145" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Andersen et al&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0115"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">23</span></a> focused on advanced age as an independent predictor of ICU mortality&#46; In his study&#44; most of the ICU deaths occurred very early&#44; during the first 2 days after admission&#44; mostly related to life-supporting withdrawal&#46; In our cohort&#44; more than half of the deaths of the severest patients happened during the first four days after admission &#40;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#fig0010">Fig&#46; 2</a>&#41;&#46; Of note&#44; we excluded patients who died during the first 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h in the ICU&#44; and the high-risk group was selected based on severity &#40;assessed by SAPS II score&#41; and not only by age&#46; Consequently&#44; an early withdrawal decision was probably less likely to happen&#46;</p><p id="par0150" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Our data seems to suggest that even very severe patients&#44; who survive after the fourth day&#44; do not necessarily have a dismal prognosis&#44; and may experience long-term survival&#46; Accordingly&#44; we think that no withdrawal decisions should be based only on clinical severity during the ICU stay&#46;</p><p id="par0155" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Clinical severity&#44; age&#44; comorbidities&#44; and length of ICU stay have also been related to post-ICU mortality&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0120"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">24</span></a> Similarly&#44; in our population&#44; there were more late deaths in our high-risk group &#40;aHR 1&#46;14&#44; 95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#41;&#44; even after being discharged alive from the hospital&#46;</p><p id="par0160" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">These observations may have important organizational implications and challenge admission policies&#46; Future research should focus on the improvement of patient-centered prognostic scores&#44; including individual characteristics &#40;such as frailty&#44; and comorbidities&#41;&#44; assessing not only hospital outcomes but also short- and long-term morbidity and mortality&#44; and facilitating patients&#39; own choices&#46; The development and evaluation of interventions aiming to improve the long-term outcome of high-risk patients admitted to the ICU should also be a priority&#46;</p><p id="par0165" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">We acknowledge that our study has several limitations&#46; First&#44; our sample was limited to a group of ICUs in a single country&#44; and the short and long-term outcomes of severe patients admitted to ICU may differ across countries&#46; Second&#44; our database does not include information on functional status before admission&#44; although severely dependent patients are usually excluded from admission&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0085"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">17</span></a> Third&#44; we excluded patients with less than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h of ICU stay&#44; including those who died&#46; Fourth&#44; the SAPS II score may fail to capture all the severity of patients&#44; including their frailty&#44; that may influence the outcomes&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0125"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">25</span></a> and we were not able to formally check the local accuracy of the SAPS II calculation&#46; Fifth&#44; we did not include other severity scores&#46; Finally&#44; we did not collect data on the level of life-support&#44; treatment limitations&#44; end-of-life decisions&#44; the policy of ICU trials&#44;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0095"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">19</span></a> and causes of death after ICU discharge&#46;<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#bib0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">1</span></a></p><p id="par0170" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Our work had also some strengths&#58; it included a large ICU database and focused on a generally poorly studied sub-group&#46; To our knowledge&#44; this is the first study to analyze a large database of the long-term outcome of a population with a very high predicted risk of death admitted to an ICU&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0135">Conclusion</span><p id="par0175" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">More than 12&#37; of patients admitted to the ICU had very high predicted hospital mortality according to SAPS II&#46; These patients often died during the first 4 days after ICU admission and had a short- but also long-term increase in the risk of death&#46; Nevertheless&#44; roughly 30&#37; were alive after one year of follow-up&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0140">Funding</span><p id="par0180" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0145">Conflict of interest</span><p id="par0185" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span><span id="sec0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0150">Contribution of the authors</span><p id="par0190" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">AO&#44; JGP designed the study&#59; AO&#44; TV&#44; ARR&#44; NJ&#44; LT&#44; and LC acquired the data and performed a literature search&#59; AO&#44; JGP check the data for missing or implausible values&#59; AO&#44; JGP&#44; TV&#44; JAP analyze and interpret the data&#59; JGP&#44; AO&#44; JAP drafted the manuscript&#59; AO&#44; JGP&#59; TV&#59; NJ&#44; LT&#44; LC&#44; JAP revised the manuscript for important intellectual content&#59; JGP&#44; AO provided the statistical expertise&#46; JGP acts as the guarantor of the integrity and accuracy of the data&#46; All authors read and approved the final manuscript&#46;</p></span></span>"
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        "titulo" => "Abstract"
        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0010" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0015">Objective</span><p id="spar0040" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">As calculated by the severity scores&#44; an unknown number of patients are admitted to the Intensive Care Unit &#40;ICU&#41; with a very high risk of death&#46; Clinical studies have poorly addressed this population&#44; and their prognosis is largely unknown&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0015" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0020">Design</span><p id="spar0045" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Post hoc analysis of a multicenter&#44; cohort&#44; longitudinal&#44; observational&#44; retrospective study &#40;CIMbA&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0020" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0025">Setting</span><p id="spar0050" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Sixteen Portuguese multipurpose ICUs&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0025" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0030">Patients</span><p id="spar0055" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Patients with a Simplified Acute Physiology Score II &#40;SAPS II&#41; predicted hospital mortality above 80&#37; on admission to the ICU &#40;high-risk group&#41;&#59; A comparison with the remaining patients was obtained&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0030" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0035">Interventions</span><p id="spar0060" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">None&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0035" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0040">Main Variables of Interest</span><p id="spar0065" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Hospital&#44; 30 days&#44; 1 year mortality&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0040" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0045">Results</span><p id="spar0070" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">We identified 4546 patients &#40;59&#46;9&#37; male&#41;&#44; 12&#46;2&#37; of the whole population&#46; Their SAPS II predicted hospital mortality was 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#44; whilst the observed mortality was lower&#44; 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; This group had higher mortality&#44; both during the first 30 days &#40;aHR 3&#46;52 &#91;95&#37; CI 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#93;&#41; and from day 31 to day 365 after ICU admission &#40;aHR 1&#46;14 &#91;95&#37;CI 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#93;&#41;&#44; respectively&#46; However&#44; their hospital standardized mortality ratio was similar to the other patients &#40;0&#46;69 vs&#46; 0&#46;69&#44; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;92&#41;&#46; At one year of follow-up&#44; 30&#37; of patients in the high-risk group were alive&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0045" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0050">Conclusions</span><p id="spar0075" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Roughly 12&#37; of patients admitted to the ICU for more than 24<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>h had a SAPS II score predicted mortality above 80&#37;&#46; Their hospital standardized mortality was similar to the less severe population and 30&#37; were alive after one year of follow-up&#46;</p></span>"
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        "resumen" => "<span id="abst0050" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0060">Objetivo</span><p id="spar0080" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Seg&#250;n las escalas de gravedad&#44; un n&#250;mero indeterminado de pacientes ingresan en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos &#40;UCI&#41; con riesgo de muerte muy elevado&#46; Este grupo ha sido poco abordado en los estudios cl&#237;nicos y se desconoce en gran medida su pron&#243;stico&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0055" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0065">Dise&#241;o</span><p id="spar0085" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">An&#225;lisis post-hoc de estudio multic&#233;ntrico&#44; de cohortes&#44; longitudinal&#44; observacional y retrospectivo &#40;CIMbA&#41;&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0060" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0070">&#194;mbito</span><p id="spar0090" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Diecis&#233;is UCI polivalentes portuguesas&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0065" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0075">Pacientes</span><p id="spar0095" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Pacientes con mortalidad hospitalaria prevista en el Simplified Acute Physiology Score II &#40;SAPS II&#41; superior al 80&#37; nel ingreso en la UCI &#40;grupo de alto riesgo&#41;&#59; se compararon con los restantes&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0070" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0080">Intervenciones</span><p id="spar0100" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Ninguna&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0075" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0085">Variables de inter&#233;s principals</span><p id="spar0105" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Mortalidad hospitalaria&#44; a 30 d&#237;as y 1 a&#241;o&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0080" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0090">Resultados</span><p id="spar0110" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Se identificaron 4546 pacientes &#40;59&#46;9&#37; hombres&#41;&#44; 12&#46;2&#37; da poblaci&#243;n&#46; La mortalidad hospitalaria estimada por lo SAPS II fue de 89&#46;0<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#177;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>5&#46;8&#37;&#44; aunque la observada fue inferior&#44; 61&#46;0&#37;&#46; Este grupo present&#243; mayor mortalidad&#44; tanto durante los primeros 30 d&#237;as &#40;aHR 3&#46;52 &#91;IC 95&#37;&#58; 3&#46;34&#8211;3&#46;71&#93;&#41; y desde el d&#237;a 31 hasta el d&#237;a 365 despu&#233;s del ingreso en UCI &#40;aHR 1&#46;14 &#91;IC 95&#37;&#58; 1&#46;04&#8211;1&#46;26&#93;&#41;&#46; Sin embargo&#44; su &#237;ndice de mortalidad hospitalaria estandarizada fue similar a los otros pacientes &#40;0&#46;69 vs&#46; 0&#46;69&#59; <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#61;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;92&#41;&#46; Al primer a&#241;o de seguimiento&#44; 30&#37; de los pacientes de alto riesgo estaban vivos&#46;</p></span> <span id="abst0085" class="elsevierStyleSection elsevierViewall"><span class="elsevierStyleSectionTitle" id="sect0095">Conclusiones</span><p id="spar0115" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Aproximadamente 12&#37; de los pacientes ingresados en la UCI durante m&#225;s de 24 horas ten&#237;an una mortalidad prevista por SAPS II superior al 80&#37;&#46; Su mortalidad hospitalaria estandarizada fue similar a la de la poblaci&#243;n menos grave y el 30&#37; estaban vivos despu&#233;s de un a&#241;o de seguimiento&#46;</p></span>"
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          "en" => "<p id="spar0010" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">Survival curves according to the severity of disease on the Intensive Care Unit admission&#46; Panel A&#58; Survival during the first 30 days after admission&#46; Panel B&#58; Long-term cumulative survival in 30-day survivors &#40;from the 31st to the 365th day of follow-up&#41;&#46; Log Rank test <span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span><span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#46;001 for both&#46; SAPS&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score&#59; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#46;</p>"
        ]
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          "leyenda" => "<p id="spar0020" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">SAPS II&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score II&#59; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#59; LOS&#44; Length of Stay&#59; p25&#8211;p75&#44; Percentiles 25 and 75&#46;</p>"
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                0 => """
                  <table border="0" frame="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" class=""><thead title="thead"><tr title="table-row"><th class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">SAPS<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67 &#40;N 4546&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">SAPS<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67 &#40;N 32&#44;572&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t\t\t</th><th class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-head\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">Age&#40;years&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">18&#8722;50&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">341 &#40;7&#46;5&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">7291 &#40;22&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t  " rowspan="4" align="left" valign="middle">&#60;&#46;001</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">51&#8722;65&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">935 &#40;20&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">8998 &#40;27&#46;6&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">66&#8722;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">2205 &#40;48&#46;5&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t">&#62;80&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">1065 &#40;23&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">4821 &#40;14&#46;8&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Gender&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Male&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">2773 &#40;61&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">19&#44;521 &#40;59&#46;9&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " rowspan="2" align="left" valign="middle">&#46;17</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Female&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">1773 &#40;39&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">13&#44;051 &#40;40&#46;1&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead rowgroup " rowspan="3" align="left" valign="middle">Type of admission</td><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Medical&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">3197 &#40;70&#46;3&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">20&#44;173 &#40;61&#46;9&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " rowspan="3" align="left" valign="middle">&#60;&#46;001</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Unscheduled Surgery&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">1244 &#40;27&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">8115 &#40;24&#46;9&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Scheduled Surgery&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">105 &#40;2&#46;3&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">4284 &#40;13&#46;2&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " colspan="2" align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Sepsis</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">1971 &#40;43&#46;4&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">9477 &#40;29&#46;1&#37;&#41;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">&#60;&#46;001&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " colspan="2" align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">ICU LOS &#40;days&#41; &#40;median&#44; p25&#8211;p75&#41;</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">5&#46;4 &#91;1&#8722;27&#93;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">4 &#91;1&#8722;24&#93;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">&#60;&#46;001&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr><tr title="table-row"><td class="td-with-role" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " colspan="2" align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">Hospital LOS &#40;days&#41; &#40;median&#44; p25&#8211;p75&#41;</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">9 &#91;2&#8722;72&#93;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">13 &#91;1&#8722;67&#93;&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttable-entry\n
                  \t\t\t\t  " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">&#60;&#46;001&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td></tr></tbody></table>
                  """
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          "leyenda" => "<p id="spar0030" class="elsevierStyleSimplePara elsevierViewall">SAPS II&#44; Simplified Acute Physiology Score II&#59; ICU&#44; Intensive Care Unit&#59; SMR&#44; Standardized mortality ratio&#46;</p>"
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">SAPS<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#8805;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black">SAPS<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>&#60;<span class="elsevierStyleHsp" style=""></span>67&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t" scope="col" style="border-bottom: 2px solid black"><span class="elsevierStyleItalic">P</span>-value<a class="elsevierStyleCrossRef" href="#tblfn0005"><span class="elsevierStyleSup">a</span></a>&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
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                  \t\t\t\t ; entry_with_role_rowhead " align="left" valign="\n
                  \t\t\t\t\ttop\n
                  \t\t\t\t">SAPS II predicted hospital mortality&nbsp;\t\t\t\t\t\t\n
                  \t\t\t\t</td><td class="td" title="\n
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        "texto" => "<p id="par0195" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Collaborators of the CIMBA-LT study&#58;</p><p id="par0200" class="elsevierStylePara elsevierViewall">Hospital Vila Franca de Xira&#58; Andr&#233; Oliveira&#59; Jo&#227;o Gon&#231;alves-Pereira&#59; Joaquim Lima&#46; Centro Hospitalar de M&#233;dio Tejo &#40;Abrantes&#41;&#58; Rui Assis&#59; Joana Monteiro&#46; Hospital N&#233;lio Mendon&#231;a &#40;Funchal&#41;&#58; Andr&#233; Sim&#245;es&#59; Catarina Lume&#46; Centro Hospitalar de Tr&#225;s-os-Montes e Alto Douro &#40;Vila Real&#41;&#58; Maria Jo&#227;o Pinto&#46; Centro Hospitalar de Vila Nova de Gaia&#58; Sara Pipa&#46; Hospital de Braga&#58; Laura Costa&#46; Hospital de Bragan&#231;a&#58; Cristina Nunes&#46; Hospital do Divino Esp&#237;rito Santo &#40;S&#46; Miguel&#41;&#58; Manuela Henriques&#59; Lu&#237;s Tavares&#46; Hospital de Leiria&#58; Filipa Sequeira&#46; Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio de S&#46; Jo&#227;o &#40;Porto&#41;&#58; Jos&#233;-Artur Paiva&#59; Tatiana Santos Vieira&#59; N&#250;ria Jorge&#46; Centro Hospital Universit&#225;rio de Lisboa Norte &#40;Lisboa&#41;&#58; Ana Bento Rodrigues&#59; Susana Fernandes&#59; Jo&#227;o Ribeiro&#46; Hospital S&#46; Francisco Xavier &#40;Lisboa&#41;&#58; Rui Morais&#59; Pedro P&#243;voa&#59; Lu&#237;s Coelho&#46; Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio de Coimbra&#58; Ana Martinho&#59; Iolanda Santos&#46; Hospital Egas Moniz &#40;Lisboa&#41;&#58; Gabriela Almeida&#46; Hospital de Beja&#58; Alexandra Paula&#59; Filipe Morais de Almeida&#46; Centro Hospitalar Universit&#225;rio do Algarve &#40;Faro&#41;&#58; Sofia Ribeiro&#46;</p>"
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